Celtic in the UEFA Champions League 2024-25

It literally is a guessing game until all fixtures are finished next Wednesday night at 21:50 that table will be in constant movement next week guaranteed

 

Im in munich for a concert on the monday the 10th and due to get the train back early evening on the 11th. If its B Munich away Im assuming it will be at CP first, Ironic.

 

Yeah fixtures to watch out for if we don’t get anything from Villa Park.

We want
- Liverpool to beat PSV
- Juventus to avoid defeat to Benfica
- Bologna to avoid defeat to Sporting
- Stuttgart and PSG to draw
- Man City to beat Club Brugge.

If those 5 things happen we will finish 18th regardless of our result.

I cannot see us win at Villa, so getting a draw then brings interest into the following ties:

- Lille v Feyenoord, if either side wins by more than 1 goal we would go above the team defeated.
- Brest v Real Madrid, if Madrid win by 2 goals we would go above Brest.
- Inter v Monaco, if Inter win by 3 goals we could go above Monaco.

There are other games like Dortmund and Bayern but they both have easy home ties so likely to win regardless.

In all likelihood we could possibly just about sneak into the top 16 with a draw but would need most of the things above to happen.

 

Still buzzing after last night.
Does anyone know how many players we can register for the next phase?
Is it more if we sell someone registered?

 

Maybe try a back 5 at Villa next week with the pressure being off and Maeda out, Kyogo gone?

Schmeichel

Johnston
Carter-Vickers
Scales
Trusty
Taylor

McGregor
Engels

Kuhn
Hatate

Idah

A 5-4-1 or 5-2-2-1

Keep it kinda narrow..

 

Seen a few murmers that itd be better for us to lose to Villa as it's likely an easier opponent.

We could get one of Feyenoord, Monaco or Brest if we lose, and could get Bayern, Madrid or City if we win.

 

Munich was great fun

 

With us on 12 points and the middle of the pack is so stacked with teams sitting on 10-14 that we could finish above/below depending how results go it's pretty much impossible to predict, and teams still able to move in and out of the top/bottom 8, actually loving this side of the new format, so many teams still have something to play for going into the final game.

 

I did use the result simulator on uefa’s website and plugged in the results i predicted for the other games

If we win, we’d finish 13th and we’d would get either Monaco(19) or Brest(20) in playoff .

A draw, we finish 19th and play either Aston Villa(14) or Atalanta(13).

Lose and we are in 20th and will play either Juventus (13) or Atalanta (14).

In all these three scenarios simulated, if we win it be Arsenal or Inter in last 16.

Looking at those teams, winning probably gives us slightly better ties.

But then I did another simulation with different result from the other games which resulted in Man City finishing in 19th and PSG in 20th. If that were to be the outcome then winning against Villa would give us the worst possible ties.

The point is it’s too hard to guess. Also all match day 8 games kick off at the same time (wed 29th 8pm) so there is no point in thinking about worst or best case scenarios. Let’s just go to Villa and get a result and hope for the best in the other results

 

Apologies if this has been posted already, but there’s a link on BBC football page - explaining the (TV?) prize money

From the 7 played games, I approximate estimate the club has earned

£32m Euros

This comes from
£18.6m participation (how important are the qualifiers now?)
£7.1m results (£2.1m a win - £275,000 draw)
£1m bonus for finishing 9-16
Plus there’s another bonus of 275,000 per place - minimum £3.5m for finishing in the top 16
Minimum last 16 exit £800,000

This doesn’t include other stuff such as sponsorship, tickets and merchandise

And there’s also the Villa game, and possibly quarter finals etc to factor in

 

But to put that in perspective - without ticket sales etc

Southampton are due a minimum of £88m for probably finishing last in the EPL this season.

And then get additional parachute payments for the next 2/3 years.

 

I think the top 8 teams will remain as is after the final games, maybe Atalanta could drop down as they’re away to Barca, but the rest have very winnable games.
The only other team that can realistically move up to the playoffs positions from below is City, with Stuttgart most likely to drop down as they play PSG.

So we more or less know who our potential opponents might be.
One from…

Atalanta
Villa
Monaco
Lille
Feyenoord
Brest
Real
Bayern
Juventus
Dortmund
PSV
Benfica
Stuttgart
City
Brugge
Sporting
PSG

With the way teams are so clustered together, it’s really impossible to tell who’s gonna finish where, so we can realistically get any of those teams depending on how the results go next Wednesday.

From that list, who do we think we’d have the best chance of beating?
And who do we want to avoid?

 

Draw Brest
Avoid Dortmund

 

There is one guarantee it's likely to be one of the heavyweights

 

We can make 3 changes to our squad..

 

* knows about Villa but hope we line up like this on May 31st.

Schmeichel

Johnstone
CCV
Trusty
Tierney

McGregor
Engels
Hatate

Kuhn
Kvistgaarden
Jota

 

Tierney and Jota can't be added to the squad until the next round

 

€47m made already without a ticket sale in that wow man!

 

Was wondering if we could add KT as we only had 7 homegrown players and that not count. I'm not sure. That would mean with Valle, Palma and Kyogo leaving we could potentially add 3 on top of him.